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Africa/Global: Ebola Resurgence Tests Global Response
AfricaFocus Bulletin
April 15, 2019 (190415)
(Reposted from sources cited below)
Editor's Note
“Despite a worsening Ebola epidemic in the Democratic Republic of
Congo, the World Health Organization on Friday again decided not
to declare the outbreak
a global health emergency. While expressing ´deep concern´ about the number of increasing
cases in parts of Congo, and the potential risk of the disease
spreading to neighboring countries, the W.H.O. said the epidemic
did not meet the criteria for declaring an international public
health emergency.” - New York Times, April 12, 2019
(http://tinyurl.com/y5ochm2v)
With more than 750 deaths since first reported in August 2018, the
epidemic in northeastern DRC is the second largest recorded,
behind the multi-country epidemic in West Africa which left 11,325
dead in 2014-2016. The DRC outbreak has not yet crossed
international borders, and the coordinated response is taking
advantage of new solutions, including an effective vaccine tested
in 2015. But many global health experts argue that the remoteness
of the location and the lack of international media attention
is again leading to underestimation of the danger and an inadequate global
response, as happened in West Africa. As of late March, WHO had
received less than half of its $148 million funding request for
Ebola response over the next six months.
If the Trump administration´s budget proposal of the 2020 fiscal
year were enacted, global health funding would fall even further
short, as that budget zeroes out US funding for UNICEF and cuts US
contributions to WHO by 47%. The budget proposes a $1.3 billion
(20%) cut for the Atlanta-based Centers for Disease Control (CDC),
which is a key global institution for technical research and
support in fighting epidemics.
Fortunately, as indicated by congressional hearings in March,
there is bipartisan support for funding for global health.
“I consider this every bit as much of a defense budget as anything
at DOD [US Department of Defense]," ranking Republican
representative Tom Cole {R-OK) said ... "As I've said on many,
many occasions, we're much more likely to die in pandemics than in
terrorist attacks.”
This AfricaFocus Bulletin contains excerpts from the testimony
before the Senate Appropriations Committee by CDC Director Dr.
Robert R. Redfield, as well as links to other sources of relevant
information on the DRC Ebola epidemic.
For previous AfricaFocus Bulletins on Ebola and other health
issues, visit http://www.africafocus.org/intro-health.php
On the current outbreak
“Ebola Epidemic in Congo Could Last Another Year, C.D.C. Director
Warns,” New York Times, March 16, 2019
http://tinyurl.com/y392wexl
Helen Branswell, “WHO asks panel to weigh whether Ebola outbreak
is global emergency,” StatNews, April 10, 2019
http://tinyurl.com/y5mhc4c9
Regular updates from the University of Minnesota Center for
Infectious Disease Research and Policy
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/infectious-disease-topics/ebola
On funding for global health
“House Lawmakers Criticize Trump's Bid to Cut NIH, CDC Budgets,”
Medscape, March 14, 2019
https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/910374
“The White House has proposed reducing CDC's fiscal 2020 funding
to $5.3 billion for fiscal 2020 from about $6.6 billion in fiscal
2019.”
CDC Coalition letter from 225 organizations, March 4, 2019
http://tinyurl.com/yyrq843c
“The undersigned 225 members of the CDC Coalition and other
supporting state and national organizations urge you to provide at
least $7.8 billion for the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention’s programs in the FY 2020 Labor, Health and Human
Services, Education and Related Agencies Appropriations bill.”
“The White House Seeks to Eliminate Funding for UNICEF,” UN
Dispatch, March 12, 2019
http://tinyurl.com/y6k8oq3q
++++++++++++++++++++++end editor's note+++++++++++++++++
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U.S. Public Health Response to the Ebola Outbreak in the
Democratic Republic of the Congo and Other Emerging Health Threats
Robert R. Redfield, M.D. Director, Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Testimony before the Committee on Appropriations Subcommittee on
Labor, Health and Human Services, Education and Related Agencies ,
United States Senate
March 14, 2019
http://tinyurl.com/y552kbqc
…
CDC is working, in collaboration with interagency and
international partners, to end this outbreak and ensure the health
and security of our country. We have comprehensive Ebola response
capabilities developed over 40 years at the forefront of Ebola
virus research and further refined by more than 20 Ebola outbreak
responses. In the wake of the worst Ebola outbreak in history, the
2014—2016 West Africa outbreak that claimed over 11,000 lives, CDC
has made significant advancements in Ebola science, surveillance,
and response. For example, we confirmed that live Ebola virus can
persist in specific body fluids, such as in seminal fluids, for
over a year following infection. In response to the epidemic, we
also trained epidemiologists and laboratory scientists and
provided testing materials and support to African countries at
greatest risk of Ebola outbreaks. In addition, in June 2015 we
established CDC’s Global Rapid Response Team, a cadre of over 500
highly-trained responders ready to deploy on short notice anywhere
in the world to respond to global health emergencies.
In response to the current outbreak in the eastern DRC, CDC has
deployed 133 expert disease detectives to the DRC, neighboring
countries, and the World Health Organization (WHO) headquarters in
Geneva ...
The current outbreak of Ebola is in the northeast corner of the
Democratic Republic of the Congo, which borders South Sudan,
Uganda, and Rwanda. The area affected is more than 1,000 miles by air from
Kinshasa, the capital of the DRC. Credit:
https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=74330870
The complex situation in the DRC has limited CDC’s direct
participation at the outbreak’s epicenter, which is located far
from the capital city of Kinshasa in an area threatened by armed
conflict, crime, and civil unrest, as well as heavy cross-border
movement. …
In August 2018, before the security situation escalated, I was
able to visit the DRC city of Beni to see first-hand the work
being done. I heard directly from our international partners on
the ground how valued and desired CDC’s contribution is, with
their greatest request being expanded CDC technical leadership and
expertise in the field. My visit reinforced for me the essential
role CDC can play in changing the trajectory of the Ebola
outbreak. The current outbreak is the largest and longest single
country Ebola outbreak to date, with case counts continuing to
increase and key response indicators going in the wrong direction.
Status of the Epidemic
On August 1, 2018, the DRC Ministry of Health and Population
reported an outbreak of Ebola virus disease in North Kivu
Province. It is now the largest Ebola outbreak in the DRC and the
second largest ever since the virus was discovered there in a
village near the Ebola River in 1976. As of March 7, 2019, 907
cases have been reported, including 569 deaths (63%). This
includes 841 laboratory-confirmed cases and 66 probable cases. Due
to challenges in detecting and reporting cases posed by the
security situation, CDC suspects the true number of cases is much
larger. …
Past outbreaks of Ebola in the DRC typically occurred in sparselypopulated,
rural areas. The current outbreak—like the prior
outbreak in West Africa—includes densely-populated urban areas,
increasing the likelihood of human- to-human spread. Since the
outbreak began, the greatest number of cases has been in Beni town
(235 cases), which has a municipal population of 340,000 and a
greater area population of about 1 million. North Kivu health
zones of Katwa (260 cases) and Butembo (84 cases) are also
heavily-affected, and encompass an urban area with a population of
approximately 1 million. The affected region is about 780 miles
away from Equateur province, where a prior Ebola outbreak was
reported in May 2018 and declared over in late July. Although both
outbreaks were caused by Zaire ebolavirus, genetic differences
between the viruses suggest the two outbreaks are not linked.
Status of Response Efforts
The DRC Ministry of Health and Population is leading the response,
with strong assistance from WHO. CDC is providing technical
guidance to the DRC government, bordering countries, and partners,
bringing to bear decades of experience, global health investments,
and lessons learned in the West Africa Ebola response. For
example, CDC has updated ring vaccination protocols, which
strategically focus vaccination efforts on the contacts of cases
and people who are in close contact with those contacts. CDC has
also updated vaccination training materials, trained 150 and
deployed 127 Field Epidemiology Training Program (FETP) graduates,
and developed two new Ebola databases for surveillance and
vaccination tracking to replace a manual record-keeping system.
All partners are working together toward one goal: to end this
outbreak as soon as possible. In August, CDC deployed Ebola
experts to Beni, but they were removed due to security concerns
[related to elections]. …
The departure order was lifted on January 31, 2019 following the
peaceful completion of the electoral process. CDC’s Country
Director for the DRC has returned, and CDC has deployed five staff
to Kinshasa. CDC is ready to deploy more teams to support the DRC
and WHO and the integrated U.S. Disaster Assistance Response Team
(DART) emergency outbreak response, as required. Specifically, CDC
would apply its technical and scientific expertise to help
strengthen contact tracing and infection control practices in the
field, two critical factors affecting ongoing transmission in the
area. We are working closely with other U.S. government agencies,
such as Department of State, the U.S. Agency for International
Development, Department of Defense, National Security Council, and
others to consider all potential options for support and
deployment. CDC is continuing to support contact tracing,
infection prevention and control in healthcare settings, border
health, risk communications and health education, and vaccine
administration— key pillars of the Ebola outbreak response.
In addition to CDC’s presence in the DRC, CDC also has deployed
staff to augment our country offices in the neighboring countries
of Uganda, Rwanda, and South Sudan, which are preparing for the
possibility of imported cases arriving from the DRC. …
Contact Tracing
Contact tracing is finding everyone who comes in contact, either
directly or through contaminated materials, with a sick Ebola
patient. Contacts are watched for signs of illness and if ill,
taken to a health facility before they can infect others. One
missed contact can keep the outbreak going. When someone is not
known to be a contact, they are usually only identified in a late
stage of illness and have spread the infection to others already.
As of March 7, 2019, a total of 4,265 out of 4,950 (86%) known
contacts of people with Ebola were followed. However, of recent
cases, only 65% were known contacts and only 38% were known
contacts that were being followed at the time of symptom onset.
The high proportion of cases that are not known contacts or lost
to follow-up indicates that contact tracing must improve if the
outbreak is to be contained. CDC designed “train- the-trainers”
courses for frontline response workers, focusing on contact
tracing methods. CDC also created an Ebola “Exposure Window
Calculator” app for case investigators, which can be downloaded
for free on smartphones.
Infection Prevention and Control in Healthcare Settings
Healthcare settings have played an important role in amplifying
transmission in this and many prior outbreaks. Implementing proper
infection control and prevention practices is critical to stopping
the spread of the virus within the healthcare delivery system and
to the community. Prompt identification and isolation of patients
arriving at healthcare facilities with possible Ebola virus
infection is essential so they may be safely evaluated and, if
necessary, transported to an Ebola Treatment Unit for further
care. CDC estimates that, as of February 27, 2019, approximately
42% of cases were still not being effectively identified and
isolated to prevent transmission to others. Infected people who
are not initially recognized to have Ebola may receive care at
multiple facilities before Ebola is suspected, exposing numerous
patients and healthcare workers to the virus. As of February 27,
2019, 73 local healthcare workers have contracted Ebola in the
DRC.
On 14 September 2018, medical workers are thoroughly cleaned after
visiting patients at an Ebola treatment centre in Butembo,
Democratic Republic of Congo, after a recent outbreak of the
deadly disease. Credit: UNICEF/UN0235950/Nybo.
CDC is providing assistance to response partners and surrounding
countries to improve the capacity of healthcare facilities to
rapidly identify and isolate suspected Ebola cases, train
personnel, and improve infection prevention and control. At least
150 healthcare personnel have been trained by CDC in Uganda and
Rwanda since October 2018. Using information from interviews
conducted at border crossings, refugee transit centers, and
district health offices, CDC identified clinics and hospitals in
border districts of neighboring countries that would be most
likely to receive an imported case of Ebola from the outbreak
area. CDC assessed triage practices at these facilities,
interviewed and informed staff about risks of imported Ebola, and
prioritized facilities for additional training and support.
Border Health
The two DRC provinces affected by this outbreak, North Kivu and
Ituri, border Uganda. North Kivu also borders Rwanda and Ituri
province touches South Sudan. There is significant population
movement across these country borders. The Mpondwe Border Crossing
is the busiest official ground crossing on the border between
Uganda and the DRC, with a peak of 19,000 travelers passing
through each day. At the Rubavu District Point of Entry between
Goma, DRC and Gisenyi/Rubavu City, Rwanda, 60,000 people cross
daily. This high volume of movement, which includes pedestrian,
commercial car, and truck traffic, poses significant concern for
potential cross-border transmission of infectious diseases. The
WHO assessment is that there is a very high risk of spread
regionally.
Preparedness activities in bordering countries are ongoing and CDC
is providing technical assistance on their border health security
efforts. Building on collaborations from the earlier 2018
outbreak, CDC is working with the DRC Ministry of Health and
Population and other partners to adapt and implement screening
protocols at country-prioritized airports and ground crossings,
and to map population movement into and out of the outbreak zone
to determine where surveillance should be enhanced. As of March 3,
2019 about 40.4 million travelers have been screened at 80
priority ports and crossing points in the DRC since the outbreak
began.
Risk Communications and Health Education
CDC social and behavioral scientists have deployed to WHO
headquarters and several countries bordering the DRC to guide risk
communication and community engagement strategies. Risk
communication leads from CDC, WHO, International Red Cross, and
UNICEF have set a strategic direction for risk communication
activities and produced a framework that has been shared widely
with response partners. CDC and the Red Cross are leveraging the
unique strengths of each of their organizations to bring the
perspectives of DRC residents to the attention of Ebola response
teams. Red Cross volunteers engage with and educate DRC community
members about Ebola and document individuals’ beliefs,
observations, questions, and suggestions about combating Ebola.
Red Cross sends this information to CDC, where scientists analyze
it and develop reports for all participating partners to inform
outreach efforts. Data are being collected and analyzed at regular
intervals to monitor changes in knowledge, attitudes, and
perceptions as the outbreak evolves and to assess the
effectiveness of health communication messages.
Vaccine Administration
CDC conducted a clinical trial in Sierra Leone during the West
Africa Ebola outbreak, enrolling and vaccinating nearly 8,000
healthcare and frontline workers. Although this and several other
studies have shown that the investigational vaccine is safe and
protective against the Ebola virus, more scientific research is
needed before the vaccine can be licensed. Therefore, the
investigational vaccine is being used in the current outbreak on a
compassionate basis. WHO and the Ministries of Health lead the
vaccination program, but CDC contributes expert technical support
and our experience continues to be valued in each new country
undertaking the process.
CDC has played a critical role in identifying and implementing
preventive vaccination of high-risk healthcare and frontline
workers in the DRC. In the field, CDC’s Ebola vaccination
implementation expert has provided supervision to national-level
teams to ensure high-quality vaccination implementation. We have
embedded CDC staff in the DRC Vaccine Commission within the
Emergency Operations Center to assist with data analysis of
vaccine indicators and improving the quality of the ring
vaccination efforts.
One week after discovery of the Ebola outbreak in North Kivu, frontline health
workers begin vaccination at the Magina health center. Credit: WHO.
As of March 7, 2019, the remaining number of vaccine doses in Beni
was approximately 11,490. Our projections show that, depending on
the vaccination strategies used and other contextual factors,
demand for Ebola vaccine could exceed supply sometime between May
and mid-September of 2019, indicating a need to augment the
available vaccine supply. … As of March 7, 2019, 85,877
individuals have been vaccinated. CDC has also collaborated with
WHO colleagues in Uganda, South Sudan, and Rwanda to translate
ring vaccination concepts for Ebola preparedness, and has provided
technical assistance to countries as they have considered the use
of Ebola vaccine. In addition, we have applied our expertise to
update Ebola vaccination protocols, operating procedures, and
training and communications materials for use at national and
local levels, and facilitated trainings for national staff. Our
work across multiple countries has helped standardize procedures
and facilitate dissemination of best practices.
Outlook of the Epidemic
Based on the lessons learned from the West Africa Ebola outbreak,
transmission can be stopped and the outbreak terminated when at
least 70% of cases are effectively isolated after becoming ill,
that is, moved to an Ebola Treatment Unit before they have
infected anyone else. This needs to be sustained for at least two
to three months to end the outbreak. Without improving the current
effective case isolation rate of 58%, our models indicate that the
cumulative number of Ebola cases could reach an estimated 1,184 by
late August of 2019, or worse with further deterioration of the
fragile security situation. However, as noted above, there are
many uncertainties about the current outbreak in the DRC. The WHO
and the government of the DRC’s SRP 3.0 includes recommendations
to strengthen contact tracing and rapid identification and
isolation of cases. CDC is committed to leveraging its resources
and global health security expertise to help end the outbreak.
Risk to the United States
CDC understands that an international outbreak of Ebola puts the
United States at risk and we appreciate the trust placed in CDC to
keep Americans safe from public health threats both domestically
and abroad. At this time, we believe the direct risk to the United
States remains extremely low based on the travel volume and
patterns from the outbreak areas to the United States and the
implementation of border screening measures at key airports and
ports in the DRC and neighboring countries. …
Big Picture: Global Health Security
The ongoing response to Ebola in the DRC demonstrates CDC’s
commitment to strengthening global health security. CDC has been
engaged in global health security work for over seven decades and
is able to leverage the essential public health assets developed
by notable initiatives like the U.S. President's Emergency Plan
for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), the President’s Malaria Initiative, and
global polio eradication to support core global health security
programs and ensure the safety of Americans. With an understanding
of the increasing threats posed by infectious disease globally and
in the context of the West Africa Ebola outbreak, CDC received
$582 million in supplemental funding for a five-year effort in
support of the Global Health Security Agenda (GHSA). GHSA was
launched by a growing partnership of nations, international
organizations, and non-governmental stakeholders in 2014 with a
stated vision of a world safe and secure from global health
threats posed by infectious diseases. …
We appreciate the continued commitment of Congress to global heath
security, as demonstrated by the funding provided to CDC for
global health security in FY 2018 and 2019. This support enables
CDC to continue work that protects Americans by detecting and
preventing infectious disease threats before they reach our
borders. …
The DRC serves as an example of a country where CDC investments
have built capacity since program operations began in 2002,
including activities specifically to prepare for an Ebola
outbreak. These efforts have also fostered strong relationships
with the DRC and surrounding countries’ ministries of health that
have proved critical in times of crisis. In May 2018, an outbreak
of Ebola in the Equateur province of the DRC raised international
concern due to its size, logistical challenges caused by the
remote area, and early spread to more populated cities. That
outbreak was limited to 53 cases and 29 deaths. The swift response
ensured it was quickly controlled, and on July 25, 2018 WHO and
the DRC officially declared that the outbreak was over. Without a
doubt, our global health security activities in the DRC enabled a
faster, more effective and successful response to the May 2018
outbreak, and have made a difference even considering the complex
security situation of the current outbreak.
The DRC Field Epidemiology Training Program (FETP), developed with
assistance from CDC and modeled after CDC’s own training programs,
has trained around 150 disease detectives who are crucial to
accurately detecting and identifying outbreaks. The DRC graduated
its first cohort of FETP residents in 2015. These are the disease
detectives who are supporting the current Ebola outbreak and serve
as an example of how CDC supports sustainable capacity development
of countries to respond to outbreaks within their own borders.
Training programs like these work effectively because they are
complemented by decades of field experience that CDC experts
bring, teaching new detectives how to not only respond to issues
after they have occurred, but rapidly identify diseases and
prevent spread. CDC maintains long-standing collaborations in the
DRC for priority diseases, including monkeypox virus response and
prevention, building capacity and skills that have been beneficial
for Ebola response. Sustainable investments, such as resources and
expertise to train laboratory technicians, renovate and upgrade
two laboratories, and establish a National Emergency Operations
Center in the DRC, are all being leveraged in the current Ebola
response.
…
AfricaFocus Bulletin is an independent electronic publication
providing reposted commentary and analysis on African issues, with
a particular focus on U.S. and international policies. AfricaFocus
Bulletin is edited by William Minter.
AfricaFocus Bulletin can be reached at africafocus@igc.org. Please
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