AfricaFocus Bulletins on Peace and Security - 2011-2012
Jan 10, 2011 Sudan: Reflections, 2
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1101b.php
?In this context we should also remind ourselves that Sudan has
always been a multi-ethnic African state. Should it divide into two
countries, it will divide into two diverse, multi-ethnic African
states. Some writers on Sudan have spoken of an 'African' south and
an 'Arab' north. However we are firmly of the view that both
Southern and Northern Sudan are equally African." - Thabo Mbeki,
University of Juba, January 7, 2011
Jan 10, 2011 Sudan: Reflections, 3
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1101c.php
"I do not believe that either the ruling National Congress party
(NCP) in Khartoum or the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM),
which governs the south, want to fight. War would almost certainly
bring an end to NCP rule in the north and devastate an already
impoverished south. Leaders on both sides are smart enough to know
that." - Mo Ibrahim
Jan 10, 2011 Sudan: Reflections, 1
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1101a.php
"Both the Government of Sudan and the SPLM have made the solemn and
vitally important commitment that should the people of South Sudan
vote for secession, they will work to ensure the emergence and
peaceful coexistence of two viable states, informed by the
objectives of renewed friendship and cooperation between the people
of the North and the South." - Thabo Mbeki, University of Khartoum,
January 5, 2011
Feb 28, 2011 Cote d'Ivoire: Crisis Facts & Debates
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/ci1102b.php
There is a real threat of return to open civil war in Côte
d'Ivoire, driven primarily by the failure of former President
Laurent Gbagbo to admit electoral defeat. But despite a broad
international consensus on the election results, the presence of UN
peacekeeping forces, and active mediation efforts, there is no
consensus on what measures would actually help rather than run the
risk of accelerating the turn to violence.
Feb 28, 2011 Côte d'Ivoire: Human Rights Reports
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/ci1102a.php
"The political stalemate resulting from the elections has been
characterized by the use of excessive force by supporters of Mr.
Laurent Gbagbo, including elements of the security forces loyal to
him, to repress public demonstrations, harassment and
intimidation, incitement to ethnic and political violence,
arbitrary arrest and detention, sexual violence, torture, enforced
disappearances, and extrajudicial killings." - Report by United
Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, Navi Pillay, February
2011
Mar 5, 2011 North Africa: New Threats to Migrants
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/na1103.php
"Sub-Saharan African workers [in Libya] are in dire need of
evacuation because of the threats they face. The people most in
need are mainly from poorer countries in Asia and Africa... whose
governments have apparently been unable or unwilling to rescue
them" - Human Rights Watch
Jun 10, 2011 Cote d'Ivoire: No War, but No Security
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/ci1106.php
"Between May 13 and 25, Human Rights Watch interviewed 132
victims and witnesses to violence by both sides during the
battle for Abidjan and in the weeks after Gbagbo's arrest.
Killings, torture, and inhumane treatment by Ouattara's armed
forces continued while a Human Rights Watch researcher was in
Abidjan, with clear ethnic targeting during widespread acts of
reprisal and intimidation." - Human Rights Watch
Jun 14, 2011 Guinea-Bissau: Drug Trade in Broader Context
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/gb1106.php
"In Guinea-Bissau, drug trafficking ... is a consequence of the
pre-existing lack of stability that allows smugglers to
establish their networks in the region and operate to and from
there. Ignoring the structural causes of the problem (endemic
poverty, corruption, impunity) will have an even deeper impact
on the local population than the illegal drug trade, and will
leave unaddressed the very conditions that continue to foster
trafficking opportunities in the future." - February 2011
report from Norwegian Peacebuilding Center
Jun 22, 2011 Sudan: UN Debate
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1106b.php
Northern and Southern Sudan today [June 20] signed an agreement
to pull their troops out of the disputed central Abyei region,
scene of fierce fighting over the past few weeks, African Union
mediator Thabo Mbeki announced as he urged the Security Council
to move quickly to ensure implementation of the 2005
Comprehensive Peace Agreement between the two sides. - United
Nations
Jun 22, 2011 Sudan: New Violence, Uncertain Future
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1106a.php
"The remainder of [Sudan] remains saddled with the 'Sudan
Problem', where power, resources and development continue to be
overly concentrated in the centre, at the expense of and to the
exasperation of the peripheries. A 'new south' is emerging in
the hitherto transitional areas of Abyei, Southern Kordofan and
Blue Nile that -- along with Darfur, the East and other marginal
areas -- continues to chafe under the domination of the NCP.
Unless their grievances are addressed by a more inclusive
government, Sudan risks more violence and disintegration." -
International Crisis Group
Aug 5, 2011 Somalia: Updates and Reflections
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/som1108.php
It is difficult to get beyond dichotomies. Either focus on
responding to undeniably massive life-threatening famine or
on understanding the multiple causes and the reasons that it
is happening again. Highlight one cause or another among the factors
responsible: drought, global warming, war, failures of
governments and international agencies, and more. Nor is it
sufficient to say "all of the above."
Sep 12, 2011 Africa: Dead End for Diamond Monitoring?
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/dia1109.php
According to a new analysis from Partnership Africa Canada,
the Kimberley Process, a joint government-industry-civil
society group intended to monitor "conflict diamonds" is
"unable and unwilling to hold to account participating
countries that repeatedly break the rules." Unless
governments are willing to support significant reforms,
which seems unlikely, activists must seek other mechanisms
to prevent diamonds from fueling violence and human rights
violations.
Sep 19, 2011 Libya: Reflections, Zeleza
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/lib1109a.php
"That the West has always had a nefarious agenda in Africa
is not news--we all remember the slave trade, colonialism,
and structural adjustment. But we give the West too much
power when we absolve our dictators because the West likes
or detests them ... Our peoples' struggles and fundamental
interests for well-being and freedom should be our only
principled guide in supporting struggles for change. In
focusing on NATO's role in the Libyan campaign it is
tempting to underplay the role of the rebels themselves and
the struggles and desires of the majority of Libyan people
for freedom from Gadhafi's despotism." - PT Zeleza
Sep 19, 2011 Libya: Observations & Questions
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/lib1109c.php
As was the case for Tunisia and Egypt, there has been no
shortage of day-to-day news coverage (often contradictory)
and impassioned international policy debate on the Libyan
component of the Arab Awakening. But there has been much
less solid analysis, as the popular overthrow of Libya's
dictator was complicated not only by the turn to armed
conflict but also by the decisive role played by NATO air
power and significant external assistance to the rebels,
primarily from France, Britain, and Qatar.
Sep 19, 2011 Libya: Reflections, Mamdani, Cole
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/lib1109b.php
"Whereas the fall of Mubarak and Ben Ali directed our
attention to internal social forces, the fall of Gaddafi
has brought a new equation to the forefront: the connection
between internal opposition and external governments. Even
if those who cheer focus on the former and those who mourn
are preoccupied with the latter, none can deny that the
change in Tripoli would have been unlikely without a
confluence of external intervention and internal revolt.
... One thing should be clear: those interested in keeping
external intervention at bay need to concentrate their
attention and energies on internal reform." - Mahmood
Mamdani
Oct 7, 2011 Sudan: Civil War in the North?
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/sud1110.php
"New thinking is required to take into account a Khartoum
regime now in the hands of Sudan Armed Forces generals, a
unifying opposition that seeks regime change, and an
international community that seems to be losing the ability
to engage coherently on Sudan's problems. Continuing with
the current ad hoc approach to negotiations and short-term
arrangements to manage crises will not address the
underlying causes of conflict." - International Crisis
Group
Nov 3, 2011 Somalia: Economies of War
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/som1111.php
"Al-Shabaab's resilience, despite its lack of popular
support and the chronic divisions within its leadership, is
principally due to the weakness of the Transitional Federal
Government, and the latter's failure to broaden its
political appeal or share power with other de facto
political and military forces in the country. The endemic
corruption of the leadership of the transitional federal
institutions ... is the greatest impediment to the
emergence of a cohesive transitional authority and effective
State institutions." - UN Monitoring Group
Dec 12, 2011 Africa: Books New & Notable 2011
http://www.africafocus.org/docs11/books1112.php
It's past time for one of our too infrequent book issues.
I've organized this one into three groups of new books I've
come across this year: three books on current priority
issues that I recommend to readers as "must reads," new and
notable books by AfricaFocus subscribers, and other new and
notable books on a variety of topics.
Jan 30, 2012 Sudan/South Sudan: A Lose-Lose Scenario
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/sud1201.php
Sudan and South Sudan seem to have entered a "lose-lose"
scenario, precipitated by failure to agree on payments for
transport of oil from fields in South Sudan through the
pipeline in the north to the Red Sea. Despite African Union
mediation and pressure for compromise not only from Africa
but also from the United Nations, China, and the United
States, South Sudan has closed the oil fields, with likely
disastrous economic and humanitarian consequences for both
countries.
Mar 14, 2012 Africa: KONY 2012, Selected Reflections
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/kon1203a.php
"The reason why the LRA continues is that its victims - the
civilian population of the area - trust neither the LRA nor
government forces. Sandwiched between the two, civilians
need to be rescued from an ongoing military mobilization and
offered the hope of a political process. Alas, this message
has no room in the Invisible Children video that ends with a
call to arms." - Mahmood Mamdani, Professor and Director of
Makerere Institute of Social Research in Kampala and Herbert
Lehman Professor of Government at Columbia University, New
York City.
Mar 14, 2012 Africa: KONY 2012, Military Realities
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/kon1203b.php
"Chasing the leaders, which seems to be the strategy
preferred by both the Ugandan People's Defence Force and the
US military, is a hit or miss approach that will call down
more attacks on unprotected civilians as the LRA
instrumentalise them to send their twisted message and
replace battlefield losses by abducting new fighters. While
the Ugandan/US strategy has produced some attrition, it has
also generated a bloody response and a massive recruitment
campaign that seems to have gone unnoticed." - Philip
Lancaster, co-author of Diagnostic Study of the Lord's
Resistance Army, and former military assistant to Gen. Romeo
Dallaire in Rwanda
Mar 29, 2012 Congo (Kinshasa): Democracy Still Deferred
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/drc1203.php
African and world leaders have celebrated the democratic
election in Senegal this month, and moved quickly to condemn
the coup in Mali, urging a return to democratic rule. In the
Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), however, there is
hardly any international attention to the post-election
crisis following last November's election. This despite
the prominent role of the United Nations and "donor"
countries in sustaining the government of this strategically
located country, the largest by area in sub-Saharan Africa.
Apr 25, 2012 Congo (Kinshasa): Call for Real Security Reform
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/drc1204.php
An impressive array of Congolese and international civil
society organizations have issued a new call for real
security sector reform in the Democratic Republic of the
Congo, to be impelled by more coordinated pressures from
African and other international partners as well as
Congolese civil society.
Jun 1, 2012 USA/Africa: Rising Pressures for Militarization
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/mil1206.php
"The committee believes that activities that utilize U.S.
Special Operations Forces and an 'indirect approach' that
leverages local and indigenous forces should be used more
aggressively and surgically in Africa and the Arabian
Peninsula in close coordination with and in support of
geographic combatant commander and U.S. embassy country team
requirements. The committee believes that current indirect
activities are not fully resourced and underutilized to
counter gains and preclude the expansion of Al Qaeda
affiliates in these regions." - Report of the House of
Representatives Armed Services Committee on the National
Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2013
Jun 20, 2012 USA/Africa: Reject "Terrorist" Designation for Boko Haram
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/bh1206.php
Bills introduced in the U.S. House and Senate in May, if
passed, would require the U.S. Secretary of State to present
a report on whether Boko Haram in Nigeria should be formally
declared a "Foreign Terrorist Organization." Such a move,
which would be a change in U.S. policy advocating a
multifaceted approach to the threat from Boko Haram, would
be a counterproductive mistake with far-reaching negative
consequences for both Americans and Nigerians.
Jul 31, 2012 Mali: Warnings against Escalation
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/mali1207.php
"The reason West Africans and others make the Afghan
comparison [for Mali] is to sound the alarm over an emerging
Islamist safe haven in the Sahara that could be used as a
launching pad for international attacks. ... The Saharan
debacle is serious stuff, no doubt, and it has implications
well beyond the boundaries of the countries that share the
desert. But here's one Mali-Afghanistan comparison that does
work: It represents a golden opportunity for outsiders to
turn a nasty mess into a complete disaster." - Gregory Mann
Sep 16, 2012 Somalia: New Start, Stubborn Realities
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/som1209.php
The unexpected election of Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, an
educator and civil society activist, as the new president of
Somalia, has aroused hopes of a new start in that country.
But the stubborn realities he and other Somalis face include
not only the continuing threat from Al Shabaab, which
launched a suicide assassination attack on the new president
on September 12. Even more daunting is the challenge of
embedded corruption in the government he will head, which
has been fostered by a long history of external
dependence.
Oct 15, 2012 Mali: No Shortcuts to Security
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/mal1210.php
With thousands of nationalist demonstrators in Bamako
calling for military intervention to regain control of the
north of Mali from Islamic extremists, and a unanimous Security
Council resolution, initiated by France, approving in
principle action by an ECOWAS force with support from the
African Union, United Nations, and France, one might think
that such an intervention is imminent. Those appearances are
almost certainly deceptive. Significant skeptical voices,
including UN officials, U.S. diplomats and military
officials, Mali's northern neighbor Algeria, and expert
civil society analysts say an "ill-prepared" intervention
could be catastrophic.
Nov 5, 2012 Nigeria: "Security" Forces Escalate Insecurity
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/nig1211.php
Even as new reports from international human rights groups document
a pattern of major offenses against human rights by both
Boko Haram extremists and government security forces in
northern Nigeria, new incidents in the most affected area of
Nigeria's northeast include execution of some 40 people by
security forces in Maiduguri and the assassination the next
day of retired General Muhammadu Shuwa. Boko Haram has
denied government charges that they were responsible for
killing the general.
Nov 15, 2012 USA/Africa: A Rare Policy Success
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/pir1211.php
"In 2011, the number of successful pirate attacks fell by
half compared to 2010. This year, in 2012, the number of
successful attacks off the Horn of Africa has continued to
decline. To date, pirates have captured just ten vessels
this year, compared to 34 in 2011 and 68 in 2010." - U.S.
Assistant Secretary of State Andrew J. Shapiro
Nov 28, 2012 Congo (Kinshasa): War in the East, 1
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/ec1211a.php
In a statement issued earlier this week, a coalition of
Congolese organizations has called for sanctions against
Rwanda, Uganda, and any other individuals or entities that
threaten the territorial integrity of the DRC. They also
called on the UN to urgently appoint - in consultation
with the African Union - a special representative for the
Great Lakes.
Nov 28, 2012 Congo (Kinshasa): War in the East, 2
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/ec1211b.php
"The 'International community' invested in an army, but
after all these years the FARDC [Congolese national army]
has remained much more a part of the problem then a part
of the solution. Programs and policies meant to reinforce
democracy and security were designed and implemented by
people in offices far away from the complex realities on
the ground, by people with very limited understanding of
them." - Kris Berwouts
Dec 20, 2012 Africa: Books New & Notable
http://www.africafocus.org/docs12/book1212.php
This annual books issue contains 22 books that have come
to my attention that seemed to me to be of particular
interest. It's hardly a systematic selection, and I've
only read a couple of them so far. But they cover a wide
range of topics, and I think most AfricaFocus readers will
find at least of a few ot them well worth their time.
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